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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Lleida

Montferrer i Castellbò: CM would keep its majority

Montferrer i Castellbò (Lleida, 1,083 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 65.6% of the vote (2023: 67.2%) Majority over 99%
CXMC - CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.0% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Montferrer i Castellbò

Montferrer i Castellbò is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,083 inhabitants, the 63rd largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 67.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CXMC - CP was second with 2. 57.8% of the 849 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 67.2% → 65.6% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. CXMC - CPPSOE 21.8% → 20.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 8.8% → 12.1% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 491 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montferrer i Castellbò in size, in Lleida

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