Menàrguens: no list would have a majority, IXM-CP largest
Menàrguens (Lleida, 774 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 71%no list with a majority
- 453valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Menàrguens
Menàrguens is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 774 inhabitants, the 85th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IXM-CP came first with 46.1% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IM-AM was second with 2. 75.9% of the 597 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: IXM-CP would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IXM-CPPSOE 46.1% → 39.7% 4 → 3 councillors
- IM-AMERC 31.8% → 38.6% 2 → 3 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 21.0% → 20.6% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 453 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.