Maials: no list would have a majority, CM largest
Maials (Lleida, 911 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 75%no list with a majority
- 484valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Maials
Maials is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 911 inhabitants, the 74th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 46.5% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IXM - AM was second with 2. 73.3% of the 660 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 46.5% → 40.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- IXM - AMERC 29.1% → 35.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 21.3% → 21.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 484 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.