Maials: no list would have a majority, CM largest
Maials (Lleida, 911 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 75%no list with a majority
- 484valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 40.2% of the vote (2023: 46.5%)
Majority 19%
IXM - AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 29.1%)
Majority 6%
ARA PL±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 21.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 46.5% → 40.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- IXM - AMERC 29.1% → 35.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 21.3% → 21.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 484 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.