Les Valls d'Aguilar: CM would keep its majority
Les Valls d'Aguilar (Lleida, 274 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 81%CM majority
- 212valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Les Valls d'Aguilar
Les Valls d'Aguilar is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 274 inhabitants, the 155th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 64.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; IVA-AM was second with 2. 82.5% of the 257 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 81% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 64.6% → 56.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- IVA-AMERC 34.9% → 43.1% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 212 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.