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La Granadella: no list would have a majority, CM largest

La Granadella (Lleida, 724 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.4% of the vote (2023: 44.6%) Majority 17%
GDF - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 30.3%) Majority 10%
ASG-X TU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 19.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 73% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Granadella

La Granadella is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 724 inhabitants, the 91st largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 44.6% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; GDF - AM was second with 2. 77.3% of the 542 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 44.6% → 38.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. GDF - AMERC 30.3% → 36.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. ASG-X TULocal lists 19.6% → 19.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 419 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Granadella in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →