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Castellserà: VIUC-AM would keep its majority

Castellserà (Lleida, 961 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VIUC-AM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 71.9% of the vote (2023: 64.6%) Majority over 99%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Castellserà

Castellserà is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 961 inhabitants, the 71st largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 VIUC-AM came first with 64.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 2. 73.3% of the 774 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps VIUC-AM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VIUC-AMERC 64.6% → 71.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 34.2% → 26.9% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 567 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castellserà in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →