Bellver de Cerdanya: IB-AM-AM would keep its majority
Bellver de Cerdanya (Lleida, 2,176 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%IB-AM-AM majority
- 999valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Bellver de Cerdanya
Bellver de Cerdanya is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 2,176 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IB-AM-AM came first with 61.1% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 4. 57.1% of the 1,749 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps IB-AM-AM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IB-AM-AMERC 61.1% → 68.6% 7 → 8 councillors
- CMJunts 36.2% → 28.7% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 999 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.