Bellaguarda: CM would keep its majority
Bellaguarda (Lleida, 288 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 91%CM majority
- 185valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 57.6% of the vote (2023: 65.4%)
Majority 91%
IXB-AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 31.4%)
Majority 9%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 65.4% → 57.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- IXB-AMERC 31.4% → 39.1% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 185 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.