Alguaire: ERC - AM would win a majority
Alguaire (Lleida, 3,040 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 55%ERC - AM majority
- 1,325valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 48.7% of the vote (2023: 42.7%)
Majority 55%
HORITZO31−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 38.8% of the vote (2023: 42.1%)
Majority 9%
CM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 13.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.7% → 48.7% 5 → 6 councillors
- HORITZO31Local lists 42.1% → 38.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 13.4% → 10.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,325 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.