Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alfés: CM would keep its majority

Alfés (Lleida, 300 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.5% of the vote (2023: 58.9%) Majority 50%
IXA-AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 40.0%) Majority 50%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alfés

Alfés is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 300 inhabitants, the 144th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 58.9% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IXA-AM was second with 3. 81.2% of the 234 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 50% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 58.9% → 50.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. IXA-AMERC 40.0% → 48.5% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 190 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alfés in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →