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Alcarràs: no list would have a majority, SA - PSC - CP largest

Alcarràs (Lleida, 9,637 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SA - PSC - CP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 35.6%) Majority 1%
ERC - AM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 24.0%) Majority 1%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.5% of the vote (2023: 22.5%) Majority 0%
CUP - AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 2.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SA - PSC - CPPSOE 35.6% → 30.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 24.0% → 29.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CMJunts 22.5% → 19.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. CUP - AMUNTCUP 7.8% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.7% → 6.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 3.2% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PPPP 2.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,050 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcarràs in size, in Lleida

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