España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Villafranca del Bierzo: PP would win a majority

Villafranca del Bierzo (León, 2,756 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 44.3%) Majority 42%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 38.5%) Majority 5%
C. BIERZO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.3% → 43.6% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 38.5% → 34.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. C. BIERZOLocal lists 13.9% → 14.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.1% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,716 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villafranca del Bierzo in size, in León

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