Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa María de la Isla: PSOE would keep its majority

Santa María de la Isla (León, 462 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 60.0% of the vote (2023: 61.9%) Majority 99%
U.P.L.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.8% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 61.9% → 60.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. U.P.L.Local lists 27.3% → 29.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.2% → 9.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 333 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María de la Isla in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →