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San Cristóbal de la Polantera: PP would keep its majority

San Cristóbal de la Polantera (León, 653 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.5% of the vote (2023: 55.6%) Majority 94%
U.P.L.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.7% of the vote (2023: 24.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About San Cristóbal de la Polantera

San Cristóbal de la Polantera is a municipality in the province of León with 653 inhabitants, the 86th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 55.6% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; U.P.L. was second with 2. 67.6% of the 586 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.6% → 56.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. U.P.L.Local lists 24.0% → 25.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.4% → 16.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 396 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Cristóbal de la Polantera in size, in León

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