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Murias de Paredes: PSOE would keep its majority

Murias de Paredes (León, 346 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 59.5% of the vote (2023: 61.3%) Majority 98%
UPL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.8% of the vote (2023: 26.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Murias de Paredes

Murias de Paredes is a municipality in the province of León with 346 inhabitants, the 144th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 61.3% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; UPL was second with 2. 79.1% of the 330 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 61.3% → 59.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. UPLLocal lists 26.4% → 28.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.3% → 9.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 261 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Murias de Paredes in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →