La Pola de Gordón: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
La Pola de Gordón (León, 2,929 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 1,658valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 33.8% of the vote (2023: 38.0%)
Majority 3%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 31.5%)
Majority 1%
AVG±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.6%)
Majority 0%
UPL±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 11.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 4.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 38.0% → 33.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 31.5% → 30.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- AVGLocal lists 12.6% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- UPLLocal lists 11.9% → 12.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 4.5% → 9.2% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,658 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Pola de Gordón in size, in León
- Villarejo de Órbigo2,930 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Toreno2,980 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cistierna2,986 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa María del Páramo3,065 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villafranca del Bierzo2,756 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Chozas de Abajo2,625 inhabitants · 11 councillors