La Ercina: PSOE would keep its majority
La Ercina (León, 440 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 81%PSOE majority
- 336valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 51.1% of the vote (2023: 53.3%)
Majority 81%
U.P.L.±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 26.5%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 18.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.3% → 51.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 26.5% → 28.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 18.8% → 18.6% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 336 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.