España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cistierna: U.P.L. would keep its majority

Cistierna (León, 2,986 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

U.P.L.±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.6% of the vote (2023: 48.7%) Majority 83%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. U.P.L.Local lists 48.7% → 49.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 25.1% → 21.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 22.7% → 21.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.9% → 7.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,839 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cistierna in size, in León

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