Carucedo: PSOE would keep its majority
Carucedo (León, 501 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 54%PSOE majority
- 398valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 45.7% of the vote (2023: 47.7%)
Majority 54%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 41.7%)
Majority 28%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 47.7% → 45.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 41.7% → 42.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 9.5% → 10.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 398 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Carucedo in size, in León
- Valdelugueros501 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Villanueva de las Manzanas499 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Santa Colomba de Curueño495 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Val de San Lorenzo493 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Roperuelos del Páramo511 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Toral de los Guzmanes513 inhabitants · 7 councillors