Cármenes: PP would keep its majority
Cármenes (León, 329 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 79%PP majority
- 277valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 54.3% of the vote (2023: 52.3%)
Majority 79%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 45.5%)
Majority 21%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 52.3% → 54.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 45.5% → 43.5% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 277 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.