España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cabañas Raras: PP would keep its majority

Cabañas Raras (León, 1,339 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 67.3% of the vote (2023: 64.0%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 64.0% → 67.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.0% → 21.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. C. BIERZOLocal lists 7.1% → 7.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 831 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabañas Raras in size, in León

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