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Navarrete: PP would keep its majority

Navarrete (La Rioja, 3,016 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 53.6% of the vote (2023: 50.8%) Majority 90%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 2%
PLRI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Navarrete

Navarrete is a municipality in the province of La Rioja with 3,016 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 72.6% of the 2,276 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.8% → 53.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.6% → 31.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PLRILocal lists 7.7% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 7.2% → 5.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,652 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navarrete in size, in La Rioja

Every municipality in La Rioja → · All of Spain →