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Cornago: AIC would keep its majority

Cornago (La Rioja, 310 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AIC±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 48.4%) Majority 79%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority under 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 21% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cornago

Cornago is a municipality in the province of La Rioja with 310 inhabitants, the 60th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AIC came first with 48.4% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 89.8% of the 285 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps AIC on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 79% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AICLocal lists 48.4% → 51.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 35.2% → 32.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.4% → 15.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 256 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cornago in size, in La Rioja

Every municipality in La Rioja → · All of Spain →