Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fuerte del Rey: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Fuerte del Rey (Jaén, 1,309 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 44.0%) Majority 16%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.6% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 0%
POR FDR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.0% → 41.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.2% → 31.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. POR FDRLocal lists 24.1% → 26.1% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 921 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fuerte del Rey in size, in Jaén

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