Cazalilla: PSOE would keep its majority
Cazalilla (Jaén, 745 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 475valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 78.7% of the vote (2023: 78.9%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 18.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 78.9% → 78.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 18.5% → 18.8% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 475 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.