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Pollença: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Pollença (Illes Balears, 17,126 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority 0%
TOTS-ELPI±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 23.8%) Majority 0%
MÉS±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%
UMP+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pollença

Pollença is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 17,126 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 31.5% of the vote and 6 seats; TOTS-ELPI was second with 4. 60.7% of the 11,173 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 31.5% → 28.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. TOTS-ELPILocal lists 23.8% → 25.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. MÉSLocal lists 20.3% → 21.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. PPPP 13.1% → 12.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. UMPLocal lists 9.7% → 10.3% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,782 valid votes including 111 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pollença in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →