Mancor de la Vall: MÉS would win a majority
Mancor de la Vall (Illes Balears, 1,596 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 60%MÉS majority
- 1,024valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
MÉS+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 48.6%)
Majority 60%
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 49.4%)
Majority 40%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MÉSLocal lists 48.6% → 49.9% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 49.4% → 48.1% 5 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,024 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.