España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Alcúdia: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alcúdia (Illes Balears, 20,717 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 31.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
MÉS+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%
UPERA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
EL PI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%
EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 31.0% → 29.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.9% → 18.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 19.9% → 16.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. MÉSLocal lists 11.2% → 11.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. UPERALocal lists 9.5% → 9.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. EL PILocal lists 7.2% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. CPERBLocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,739 valid votes including 128 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcúdia in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →