Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Los Marines: AHORA INDEPENDIENTES would win a majority

Los Marines (Huelva, 410 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AHORA INDEPENDIENTES+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 46.4%) Majority 54%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 46%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 46.4% → 49.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 51.0% → 48.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 261 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Marines in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →