Los Marines: AHORA INDEPENDIENTES would win a majority
Los Marines (Huelva, 410 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 54%AHORA INDEPENDIENTES majority
- 261valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 46.4%)
Majority 54%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 51.0%)
Majority 46%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 46.4% → 49.8% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 51.0% → 48.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 261 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Los Marines in size, in Huelva
- Sanlúcar de Guadiana402 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Cañaveral de León393 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Cumbres de San Bartolomé377 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Villanueva de las Cruces377 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Santa Ana la Real473 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Hinojales335 inhabitants · 7 councillors