Calañas: PP would win a majority
Calañas (Huelva, 2,734 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 56%PP majority
- 1,700valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 46.5%)
Majority 56%
PSOE-A−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 49.1% of the vote (2023: 49.9%)
Majority 44%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 46.5% → 49.3% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 49.9% → 49.1% 6 → 5 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,700 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Calañas in size, in Huelva
- Villanueva de los Castillejos2,923 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villablanca2,945 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Aroche3,024 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Zalamea la Real3,026 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Puebla de Guzmán3,092 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Lucena del Puerto3,213 inhabitants · 11 councillors