Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aroche: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Aroche (Huelva, 3,024 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.2% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 40%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 23%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 48.2% → 46.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 42.2% → 43.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 8.4% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,905 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aroche in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →