Aroche: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Aroche (Huelva, 3,024 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 40%PSOE-A majority
- 1,905valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 46.2% of the vote (2023: 48.2%)
Majority 40%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 42.2%)
Majority 23%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 48.2% → 46.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 42.2% → 43.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 8.4% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,905 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Aroche in size, in Huelva
- Zalamea la Real3,026 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Puebla de Guzmán3,092 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villablanca2,945 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villanueva de los Castillejos2,923 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Lucena del Puerto3,213 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villalba del Alcor3,316 inhabitants · 11 councillors