Hontoba: PSOE would keep its majority
Hontoba (Guadalajara, 390 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 207valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 72.3% of the vote (2023: 72.9%)
Majority over 99%
PP+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 72.9% → 72.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 23.7% → 24.3% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 207 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.