España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Santa Fe: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa Fe (Granada, 15,042 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 43.4%) Majority 28%
PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 36.4%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.4% → 43.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 36.4% → 33.3% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.2% → 17.2% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 7.6% → 5.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,417 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Fe in size, in Granada

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