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Salobreña: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Salobreña (Granada, 12,477 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 23.4%) Majority 0%
UA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%
PMAS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%
IU PARA LA GENTE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Salobreña

Salobreña is a municipality in the province of Granada with 12,477 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 23.4% of the vote and 5 seats; UA was second with 3. 62.4% of the 9,565 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 4 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 23.4% → 20.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. UALocal lists 17.1% → 18.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.6% → 15.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.1% → 14.3% 1 → 3 councillors
  5. PMASLocal lists 10.8% → 11.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 7.1% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. IU PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 9.3% → 6.7% 2 → 1 councillors
  8. AINSALocal lists 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. P.R.GR.Local lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,967 valid votes including 79 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Salobreña in size, in Granada

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