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Orce: no list would have a majority, PARA LA GENTE largest

Orce (Granada, 1,148 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PARA LA GENTE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.1% of the vote (2023: 45.6%) Majority 29%
IAG+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 35.0%) Majority 13%
PSOE-A±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 45.6% → 43.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. IAGLocal lists 35.0% → 40.0% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 14.7% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.3% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 728 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Orce in size, in Granada

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