Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Moclín: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Moclín (Granada, 3,607 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 51.8% of the vote (2023: 51.4%) Majority 87%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.6% of the vote (2023: 21.5%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 51.4% → 51.8% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 21.5% → 22.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 20.8% → 18.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 4.8% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,256 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moclín in size, in Granada

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