La Taha: UCIN would keep its majority
La Taha (Granada, 727 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 99%UCIN majority
- 412valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Taha
La Taha is a municipality in the province of Granada with 727 inhabitants, the 120th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UCIN came first with 60.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 72.7% of the 567 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps UCIN on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UCINLocal lists 60.7% → 59.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 22.6% → 20.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 10.9% → 16.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 3.6% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 412 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.