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Ítrabo: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Ítrabo (Granada, 937 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 65.0%) Majority 97%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Ítrabo

Ítrabo is a municipality in the province of Granada with 937 inhabitants, the 109th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 65% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; VOX was second with 1. 85.8% of the 742 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 65.0% → 58.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.1% → 25.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.0% → 15.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 637 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ítrabo in size, in Granada

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