España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Dílar: PP would keep its majority

Dílar (Granada, 2,188 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 52.4% of the vote (2023: 53.6%) Majority 85%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.7% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Dílar

Dílar is a municipality in the province of Granada with 2,188 inhabitants, the 66th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 53.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 3. 71.3% of the 1,816 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 85% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.6% → 52.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 27.3% → 23.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.4% → 19.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,295 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Dílar in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →