Cortes de Baza: AICB would win a majority
Cortes de Baza (Granada, 1,824 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 54%AICB majority
- 1,103valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AICB+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.4% of the vote (2023: 45.4%)
Majority 54%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 26.1%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 27.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AICBLocal lists 45.4% → 48.4% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 26.1% → 25.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 27.8% → 25.1% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,103 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.