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Bérchules: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Bérchules (Granada, 694 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 74.0% of the vote (2023: 74.7%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bérchules

Bérchules is a municipality in the province of Granada with 694 inhabitants, the 124th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 74.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 85.5% of the 559 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 74.7% → 74.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.1% → 25.8% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 478 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bérchules in size, in Granada

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