Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alicún de Ortega: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Alicún de Ortega (Granada, 458 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 53.5%) Majority 94%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.2% of the vote (2023: 18.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 53.5% → 53.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. CSCiudadanos 18.5% → 20.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.8% → 19.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 9.2% → 7.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 357 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alicún de Ortega in size, in Granada

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