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Cistella: CM would keep its majority

Cistella (Girona, 307 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 61.1% of the vote (2023: 68.9%) Majority 95%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 37.8% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority 5%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cistella

Cistella is a municipality in the province of Girona with 307 inhabitants, the 167th largest of its 221 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 68.9% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 2. 82% of the 239 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 68.9% → 61.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 30.1% → 37.8% 2 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 196 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cistella in size, in Girona

Every municipality in Girona → · All of Spain →