Aiguaviva: ERC - AM would win a majority
Aiguaviva (Girona, 780 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 73%ERC - AM majority
- 442valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 50.2% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 73%
CM±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 24.8% of the vote (2023: 29.6%)
Majority 0%
PIA−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 24.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.3% → 50.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 29.6% → 24.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PIALocal lists 24.2% → 23.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 442 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.