Ormaiztegi: OB would keep its majority
Ormaiztegi (Gipuzkoa, 1,242 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%OB majority
- 619valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ormaiztegi
Ormaiztegi is a municipality in the province of Gipuzkoa with 1,242 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 88 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 OB came first with 64.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 3. 67.6% of the 916 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps OB on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- OBLocal lists 64.6% → 64.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 31.0% → 31.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 619 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.