Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Saelices: PSOE would keep its majority

Saelices (Cuenca, 450 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 60.1% of the vote (2023: 66.2%) Majority 99%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 18.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 66.2% → 60.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.8% → 21.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.8% → 17.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 340 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Saelices in size, in Cuenca

Every municipality in Cuenca → · All of Spain →