Mariana: VOX would win a majority
Mariana (Cuenca, 312 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 61%VOX majority
- 205valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 38.0%)
Majority 61%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 53.2%)
Majority 38%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 38.0% → 48.5% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 53.2% → 44.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 8.8% → 7.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 205 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Mariana in size, in Cuenca
- Puebla de Almenara311 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Pozorrubio de Santiago322 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Villaconejos de Trabaque323 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Enguídanos299 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Torrubia del Campo296 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Olivares de Júcar294 inhabitants · 7 councillors