Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Casas de Haro: PP would keep its majority

Casas de Haro (Cuenca, 844 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.7% of the vote (2023: 52.7%) Majority 69%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 35.4%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.7% → 50.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 35.4% → 31.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.3% → 17.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 601 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Casas de Haro in size, in Cuenca

Every municipality in Cuenca → · All of Spain →